What is the MP price prediction?
MP probability bands appear once the coin has at least 40 days of price history.
Not yet — and we would rather say so than print a number. We hold 0 daily closes for MP, and the model needs 41 before it will publish a probability band. Fitting volatility to a handful of days produces a range wide enough to contain almost any outcome, which looks like a forecast and informs nothing. Every other site will still show you a number for MP today. It is not built on more data than we have.
| Daily closes on file | none stored yet |
| 24h volume | $328,066 |
Measured from the MP price history CryptoCop holds — not from a third-party estimate.
Once MP has 41 daily closes — 41 more, so roughly 41 more days of trading — this page publishes the full band automatically. Nothing to request; it appears on its own.
In the meantime the useful reads on a coin this young are the MP overview (live price, Movement Score and verdict from data that does not need a long history), technical analysis, and every close we have on file.
MP probability bands appear once the coin has at least 40 days of price history.
MP 2026 scenarios appear once enough price history is available.
2040 sits past the 2030 horizon where MP's price history stops supporting a probability band. Holding spot $48.40 and applying a steady annual rate, 2040 works out to roughly $95.8 at 5% a year, $184 at 10% and $621 at 20%. Which of those three rates is realistic is the actual question, and it is yours to answer.
2050 is 24 years out — far enough that compounding, not this year's volatility, decides the number. Holding spot $48.40 and applying a steady annual rate, 2050 works out to roughly $156 at 5% a year, $477 at 10% and $3,850 at 20%. Over that distance the annual rate you assume matters far more than anything MP is doing this month.
That is a decision this page deliberately leaves to you — what it gives you instead is the arithmetic. Its Movement Score is 5/100 on the scanner. Read those alongside the coin's liquidity, unlock schedule and technical picture rather than on their own.
MP is down 1.96% over 24 hours. Short-term direction is uncertain; the page shows probability ranges, not a guarantee.
On the live tape for MP Materials Corp.: Movement Score 5/100; daily RSI 32. Broader drivers include liquidity, listings, BTC beta and narrative — this page does not replace discretionary research.
A probability distribution — not a target. A block bootstrap over MP's own daily returns supplies the shape; a two-stage volatility term structure supplies the width. Expected return is set to zero (no assumed pump). Bands are logged and scored when they mature — see the scorecard.
Volatility compounds against the middle outcome. If an asset can move sharply both ways, more than half of paths can end below the start even when the average across paths is flat. The more volatile the coin, the bigger that gap. Upside concentrates in the upper percentiles, not the median.